TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 30, 2026

1. Drawdowns from Highs

Ben Carlson


2. NVDA Officially Hits -20% from Highs…Big Support Line

StockCharts


3. IGV Software Index Big Support Line

StockCharts


4. Blue Owl…In Danger of Hitting 2022 Lows

StockCharts


5. PLTR Palantir….Ran Back Up to 200-Day Twice and Failed

StockCharts


6. Luxury Industry in Severe Drawdown

Luxury Hangover? Inside the Industry’s Sudden Collapse

For the better part of the last two decades, luxury was the place to be.

A growing upper-class drove greater volumes, brands consistently raised prices, and profit margins expanded.

But starting around 2023/2024, cracks started to show.

And now, the entire industry is in a severe drawdown.

Fundamental Charting


7. Hedge Fund Selling

Macro Charts


8. Space-X Private Shares …The Modern Day IPO-How Much is Priced In?

Barron’s


9. LNG Exports ….The World Does Not Have an Emergency Reserve

WSJ


10. Something to Live For: Lessons from the Science of Purpose

Sources of purpose are more universal than we might think.-Psychology Today Marianna Pogosyan Ph.D.

Key points

  • Purpose in life is linked to physical and mental health benefits.
  • A recent study identified 16 sources of purpose, examining how each predicts the three pillars of a good life.
  • Across four cultures, people were similar in how they endorsed these sources of purpose.

In one of Kurt Vonnegut’s stories, God leaves it to humans to think of a purpose for everything, including “all this.” Purpose gives us something to live for. It also provides the foundation to pursue that something. In our day-to-day lives, in ways big and small, we experience the truth of what philosophers have long posited: the why leads us to the how.

In psychology, purpose is defined as “a central, self-organizing life aim that organizes and stimulates goals, manages behaviors, and provides a sense of meaning.” When our lives are guided by an overarching sense of purpose, we reap a wealth of benefits for our physical and mental health – from greater life satisfaction to a slower cognitive decline.

What are some of the common places where humans find their purpose?

As a poignant reminder of our shared humanity, we tend to derive purpose from similar sources despite the remarkable diversity of our lives.

The Pillars of a Good Life

A recent study explored the various sources from which humans find purpose and then mapped them onto the three fundamental pillars of a good life: happiness, meaning, psychological richness. The authors sought to understand how having different kinds of purpose predicted these three dimensions of a good life. From an initial pool of over 2000 open-ended responses from US participants, Mask et al. (2025) identified 16 common sources of purpose in life.

  • Self-improvement – Becoming the best version of yourself through acquiring knowledge, exploration, pursuit of hobbies.
  • Family – Providing for your family; having children; looking after your loved ones.
  • Relationships – Forming and nurturing close connections with others, including friends and romantic partners.
  • Religion/Spirituality – Living in alignment with your religious or spiritual beliefs and values.
  • Recognition – Earning respect and recognition from others; having high social standing in professional, community or peer settings.
  • Happiness – Taking pleasure in and enjoying life, being happy, feeling good.
  • Self-sufficiency – Having the capacity to take care of yourself physically and financially; being free to choose your own path.
  • Material Wealth – Accumulating wealth and material possessions; “buying whatever you want.”
  • Internal Standards – Living in accordance with your personal principles, beliefs and values; “knowing who you are” and demonstrating authenticity.
  • Positive Impact – “Making the world a better place.” Engaging in actions that promote charitable, political, environmental or scientific betterment.
  • Mattering – Creating a lasting contribution and legacy; inspiring others; leaving an impact.
  • Occupational Fulfillment – Discovering a sense of purpose and calling through work; excelling at your work.
  • Persevering – Coping well with life’s challenges and persevering through adversity.
  • Physical Health – Prioritizing caring for your physical health and body.
  • Inner Peace – Cultivating gratitude, acceptance, mindfulness, and emotion regulation and savouring positive experiences.
  • Service – Contributing to the well-being of others in your community; serving others and honoring your responsibilities.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/between-cultures/202603/something-to-live-for-lessons-from-the-science-of-purpose

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 27, 2026

1. Mag 7 -15% from Highs…Next Watch for 50day thru 200day to Downside

StockCharts


2. Tech Stock Premium Over S&P Has Vanished

Tech vs. SPX. Tech’s premium over the S&P 500 has all but vanished: now at the lowest since early 2019.

Duality Research


3. MSFT Drawdown Worse than Liberation Day and Covid

Mike Zaccardi


4. Vanguard Growth VUG vs. Vanguard Value VTV 2026….VTV +3.5% vs. VUG -9%

YChart


5. S&P on Track for 5th Straight Down Week

Barchart


6. Private Credit Playing Out …Will Private Equity Underlying Holdings Get Marked Down?

Dave Lutz Jones Trading–The accumulation of unsold private assets on investors’ balance sheets is a warning that some may be overvalued — and a spark could trigger a widespread markdown, according to Lloyd Blankfein, former chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs.  “At some point there needs to be a forcing function or a reckoning that causes you to come to grips with what your balance sheet really is worth,” Blankfein said. “The analogy I like to give is you accumulate tinder on the floor of the forest and eventually a spark will come,” Blankfein said. “But the longer between intervals where there’s a spark that sets it on fire, the more that accumulates


7. Private Equity Funds Raised the Most Money in 2025

PitchBook


8. 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Post War

Adam Kobeissi


9. $417B Sports Industry

Visual Capitalist


10. Ego Self vs. Best Self

Ben Sands

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 26, 2026

1. Magnificent 7 Stocks Pullback from 52 Week Highs

Evan


2. META at Support Level

StockCharts


3. Summary of Demands for Iran Ceasefire

Giovanni Staunovo

From Dave Lutz at Jones Trading.

Here’s how much it could cost to fix Mideast oil and gas production damaged by the Iran war


4. Rystad Energy puts the price tag on eventual repairs to energy infrastructure in the tens of billions of dollars

Marketwatch By Claudia Assis

Key Points

About This Summary

  • Damage to Middle East oil-and-gas infrastructure will cost at least $25 billion and take years to repair, hindering production restoration.
  • Hopes for a U.S. cease-fire proposal led to lower crude-oil futures and U.S. stock gains, as markets reacted to potential de-escalation.
  • U.S. oil-field service companies, including Weatherford International and SLB, are well positioned to benefit from eventual recovery.

The damage to oil-and-gas infrastructure in the Middle East caused by the war with Iran will take years and billions of dollars to repair, which would hamper efforts to fully restore production even if the conflict were to end soon.

Analysts at Rystad Energy are among the first to put a price tag on estimates to fix it: at least $25 billion, and very possibly more.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-much-it-could-cost-to-fix-mideast-oil-and-gas-production-damaged-by-the-iran-war-47f11ed1?mod=home_lead

Oil Services ETF OIH-Breakout and 50week crossing to Upside 200week on Long-Term Chart.

StockCharts


5. Solar Not Winning with Higher Oil Prices….FSLR -30% from Highs…50day Close to Crossing Below 200day

StockCharts


6. Monthly Claude.AI Visits Worldwide

WSJ


7. History suggests that most productivity gains have gravitated toward capital owners. ….In 1990 Capital Exploded vs. Labor

Jack Ablin


8. Number of Americans Worth Eight to Nine Figures is Up in Size

WSJ The number of Americans worth eight or even nine figures is up markedly. It’s transforming the U.S. economy. Rachel Louise Ensign

WSJ


9. Americans Thoughts on Iran

The Associated Press


10. Top 25 Places to Live-Niche.com

See the list of the top 25 places to live below:

  1. Atlantic Station (Neighborhood in Atlanta, GA)
  2. Colonial Village (Neighborhood in Arlington, VA)
  3. Evergreen Park (Neighborhood in Palo Alto, CA)
  4. Downtown North (Neighborhood in Palo Alto, CA
  5. Clarendon Hills (Suburb of Chicago, IL)
  6. Midtown (Neighborhood in Atlanta, GA)
  7. Ardmore (Suburb of Philadelphia, PA)
  8. Devon (Suburb of Philadelphia, PA)
  9. Penn Wynne (Suburb of Philadelphia, PA)
  10. College Terrace (Neighborhood in Palo Alto, CA)
  11. Innsbrook (Suburb of Richmond, VA)
  12. Chesterbrook (Suburb of Philadelphia, PA)
  13. University Heights (Suburb of Cedar Rapids, IA)
  14. Radnor/Fort Myer Heights (Neighborhood in Arlington, VA)
  15. Harbour Island (Neighborhood in Tampa, FL)
  16. University South (Neighborhood in Palo Alto, CA)
  17. City Center (Neighborhood in Santa Monica, CA)
  18. Cambridgeport (Neighborhood in Cambridge, MA)
  19. Cinco Ranch (Suburb of Houston, TX)
  20. Brookline (Suburb of Boston, MA)
  21. Kensington (Suburb of New York City, NY)
  22. Pinehurst Estates (Neighborhood in Overland Park, KS)
  23. Triangle State (Neighborhood in Austin, TX)
  24. Columbia Heights (Neighborhood in Arlington, VA)
  25. Ballston/Virginia Square (Neighborhood in Arlington, VA)

You can visit the Niche.com study for the full ranking

https://thehill.com/homenews/nexstar_media_wire/5797250-these-are-the-best-places-to-live-in-the-us-for-2026-study-finds/?ipid=promo-link-block2

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 25, 2026

1. Defensive Stocks Expensive According to PEG Ratio

Chart Kid Matt The PEG ratio adjusts “P/E” for “long-term earnings growth”.

  • Higher earnings growth relative to P/E will get you a lower PEG
  • Lower earnings growth relative to P/E will get you a higher PEG

Earnings growth is assessed on a forward basis based on consensus estimates.

The point is, P/E has little value without understanding how the “E” is expected to change in the future.

Because PEG takes the forward change of the “E” into account, I think it’s a superior fundamental metric to watch than just looking at the P/E.

So in today’s chart, I took the Russell 3000 constituents with available data and plotted the median PEG ratio by sector.

I want to see where the “cheap” and “expensive” stocks are based on this metric.

Here it is, sorted by Cyclicals, Near Cyclicals, and Defensives:

Remember, a higher PEG ratio means a “higher valuation.”

https://chartkidmatt.com


2. Price Increases Shipping, Fertilizer, and Chemicals-Ed Elson

Prof G Markets


3. Gulf Share of World Production-Barrons

Barron’s


4. Prices Since Start of Iran War

@Charlie Bilello


5. Investors Selling Consumer Discretionary Stocks Due to Higher Inflation….XLY -10% …Close Below 200-Day

StockCharts


6. Traders placed $580mn in oil bets ahead of Donald Trump’s social media post on Iran talks Thousands of Brent and WTI contracts changed hands 15 minutes before president’s message on Truth Social-FT

Financial Times


7. Summary of Withdraw Requests from Private Equity Credit Funds


8. INDIA Highest AI Adoption Rate

Visual Capitalist


9. Americans Large House vs. Small House

Pew Research Center


10. Look for Green Flags Not Red Flags

Green flags

We were taught to look out for red flags. Little signs that something is wrong, that we should be careful or even turn around.

Don’t let that distract you from being on the lookout for green flags.

We might need encouragement to leap forward. If you look for the green flags, you’re more likely to find them. 

https://seths.blog/page/2/

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 24, 2026

1. Record Volume Downside Friday and Upside Monday

Up vs. down volume. “A day after the heaviest down volume in NYSE history, we get the heaviest up volume. Totally normal market.”

Daily Chartbook


2. One-Month Returns IGV Software ETF Outperforming QQQ and Semis (SMH)

YCharts


3. Silver Down 10 Days in a Row.  -21% One Month

Google Finance


4. BETZ Sports Gambling ETF Negative 5 Year Returns

Google Finance


5. Anthropic Catching Open AI in Revenues

The Irrelevant Investor


6. Bonds Correlated to Stocks During Inflation

“Higher inflationary pressures limit central banks’ ability to help and some will be forced to hike into a down growth cycle to arrest inflation and also FX depreciation,” said Trinh Nguyen, a senior economist at Natixis in Hong Kong.

Bloomberg


7. Coal Still 25-30% of Global Energy ….80% in Asia

Oilprice


8. Ukraine Takes Back 150 Miles from Russia with Some Help From Elon Musk

Ukraine Is Suddenly on the Offensive, With Help From Elon Musk

Kyiv’s forces have notched their biggest domestic territorial gains in more than two years after Russia lost the use of Starlink

WSJ


9. 16-24 Year Olds Believe in Astrology-Prof G Markets

Prof G Markets


10. Science Explains Why You Wake Up at 3 a.m., and How to Go Back to Sleep

About one in five people have middle-of-the-night insomnia.

EXPERT OPINION BY MINDA ZETLIN, AUTHOR OF ‘CAREER SELF-CARE: FIND YOUR HAPPINESS, SUCCESS, AND FULFILLMENT AT WORK’ @MINDAZETLIN

What should you do if you wake up in the middle of the night and can’t fall back asleep? This is one of the most common—and frustrating—forms of insomnia. It turns out there’s a biological reason for it. And there are things you can do that may help you drop off again quickly.

If you’re an entrepreneur or business leader, this may have happened to you more than once. Starting a business and being responsible for a team of employees means you may have a lot to worry about. In the middle of the night, those worries seem to grow more powerful and harder to set aside or ignore. You find yourself stuck going round and round in an endless cycle of negativity. Pretty soon, it’s morning, and you have to face the day feeling exhausted.

Middle-of-the-night insomnia.

Middle-of-the-night insomnia affects about one out of every five people. It’s even more common than having trouble falling asleep in the first place. And there’s a biological explanation, according to psychologist and sleep expert Michael Breus. In a recent Washington Post interview, he explained: “Every person on earth wakes up between 1 and 3 o’clock in the morning.” This is because our body temperature naturally starts falling around 10 p.m. That sets off melatonin production and signals our bodies that we should start heading for sleep. Between 1 and 3 a.m., our temperature naturally starts to rise again, and we shift into a lighter stage of sleep. Often, we wake up, but most of us are barely aware of it. We shift positions and go back to sleep.

Except, sometimes we don’t. Some of us have a lot more trouble falling back asleep, a problem that may be worsened if we have a lot on our minds. We wind up, mentally spinning our wheels, and sleep becomes that much harder.

If this happens to you, here’s what to do.

1. Resist temptation.

Your hardest assignment for falling back to sleep might be not doing most of the things you instinctively want to do. For example: Do not pick up your phone or other mobile device, or even an e-book. Many studies have shown that looking at screens interferes with falling asleep, even if what you’re looking at is something relaxing, such as a puzzle or light reading. You may really, really want to break this rule. Don’t.

You might also be tempted to get out of bed, especially to go to the bathroom. But standing up and walking will raise your heart rate, making it harder to fall back asleep, Breus said. And, he added, sleeping on your side can create the false sense that you need to pee. So he recommends lying on your back and counting to 30. If you still need to go to the bathroom, then go.

Finally, and perhaps most frustrating, do not look at the time. A sleep expert told me this years ago and I find it a hard instruction to follow. But I can attest that if I resist the urge to see what time it is, I do fall back asleep more quickly. Looking at the time throws your brain into planning mode, and that’s not what you want.

2. Do some controlled breathing.

Breus recommends 4-7-8 breathing, in which you inhale for a count of four, hold your breath for a count of seven, and then exhale to a count of eight. I’ve used this method many times myself to fall asleep and it really does work. Anahad O’Connor, the Washington Post health columnist who interviewed Breus, writes that it’s made a huge difference to his own chronic middle-of-the-night insomnia.

The reason this breathing technique is so effective is that it affects your vagus nerve, the longest nerve in your body. When you slow your breathing and make your exhalations longer than your inhalations, it slows your heart rate and sends a message to your body to relax. This means that any breathing technique that makes your exhalations longer than your inhalations may help you fall asleep faster. Even something very simple, such as counting to four on your inhalation and six on yur exhalation, can work. In yoga, techniques like these are called pranayama, or controlled breathing. They are a powerful way to help yourself relax.

3. Stop your worries from overwhelming you.

I’ll admit that it was much easier for me to write that sentence than it is for any of us to actually master our worries. But you can be certain that, whatever troubles you may be facing, sleep deprivation will only make them worse. So it’s worth making the effort.

Meditation is one very effective way to conquer your worries and help yourself sleep—and you can do it while lying in bed. Breus suggests tensing and then releasing one part of your body after another—for instance, starting with your toes and working your way up your legs. This is similar to a form of meditation called a body scan and can help you calm down and fall asleep.

O’Connor also recommends cognitive shuffling, which is a clever way to introduce completely random images into your mind. This mimics the way our minds tend to wander just as we’re dropping off, and it provides a good distraction from whatever we’re fretting about. Whichever technique you try, the more you can do to pull your mind away from whatever’s bothering you, the higher your chances of dropping off quickly and winding up with a good night of sleep.

There’s a growing audience of Inc.com readers who receive a daily text from me with a self-care or motivational micro-challenge or tip. (Want to learn more? Here’s some information about the texts and a special invitation to a two-month free trial.) Often, they text me back about their thoughts and experiences and we get into a conversation.

Many of my subscribers are solopreneurs or run small businesses, and some of them struggle with middle-of-the-night insomnia themselves. Trying some of these techniques might help them—and you—finally get a better night’s rest.

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The opinions expressed here by Inc.com columnists are their own, not those of Inc.com.

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